Conf = ACC ------ State = Y
Mascot = Orange ------ Coach = Gary GaitGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.3638229 home-field advantage = -0.97 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 H Boston University Patriot ( 8- 6, 94.3) 13- 6 207 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7- 6, 94.6) 20- 2 213 H Maryland B1G ( 7- 6, 97.3) 11- 9 221 A Harvard Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.3) 12-13 227 A Princeton Ivy (15- 2, 99.4) 7-11 301 A Penn Ivy ( 7- 6, 95.2) 9- 8 307 A Johns Hopkins B1G (10- 6, 96.3) 12- 8 312 A Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 91.1) 17-11 316 A Denver Big East ( 6- 8, 94.4) 13-12 322 H Georgetown Big East (11- 5, 97.5) 18-12 328 H Duke ACC (11- 4, 99.1) 16-15 404 A North Carolina ACC (13- 5, 98.4) 9-14 411 H Virginia ACC (10- 7, 98.0) 14- 9 418 H Colgate Patriot ( 6- 9, 92.4) 14- 7 425 A Notre Dame ACC (12- 2, 99.9) 11-16 501 N North Carolina ACC (13- 5, 98.4) 10-12 510 H Yale Ivy ( 9- 6, 96.6) 16-15 516 N North Carolina ACC (13- 5, 98.4) 13-11 523 N Notre Dame ACC (12- 2, 99.9)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 201 H Boston University 13- 6 7 5 1.99 207 H St Josephs (PA) 20- 2 18 4 + 2.27 213 H Maryland 11- 9 2 2 -0.00 221 A Harvard 12-13 -1 1 - -2.07 227 A Princeton 7-11 -4 -2 -1.97 301 A Penn 9- 8 1 2 -1.22 307 A Johns Hopkins 12- 8 4 1 + 2.86 312 A Air Force 17-11 6 6 -0.30 316 A Denver 13-12 1 2 -1.97 322 H Georgetown 18-12 6 1 ++ 4.17 328 H Duke 16-15 1 0 0.76 404 A North Carolina 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.02 411 H Virginia 14- 9 5 1 + 3.66 418 H Colgate 14- 7 7 6 0.08 425 A Notre Dame 11-16 -5 -2 - -2.50 501 N North Carolina 10-12 -2 0 -1.99 510 H Yale 16-15 1 2 -1.76 516 N North Carolina 13-11 2 0 + 2.01UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A North Carolina 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.02 221 A Harvard 12-13 -1 1 - -2.07 425 A Notre Dame 11-16 -5 -2 - -2.50OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Georgetown 18-12 6 1 ++ 4.17 207 H St Josephs (PA) 20- 2 18 4 + 2.27 307 A Johns Hopkins 12- 8 4 1 + 2.86 411 H Virginia 14- 9 5 1 + 3.66 516 N North Carolina 13-11 2 0 + 2.01
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 98.37 Power Rank................. 7 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 91.66 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 1 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7060 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 3 RPI Rating............... .6600 RPI Rank................... 4 Champ. Probability ...... 3.3 Championship Rank ......... 9 Selection sum ........... 11 Selection Rank ............ 4 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 120. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 4 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 135. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 4 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 6.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3